Some help from the weather?

The weather service has a new forecast out for the Stillwater this evening, showing the river tapering off about a foot below flood stage. That’s a lot different than what we were seeing a few days ago.

Prediction graph

On the one hand, it rained and snowed a lot last night. But it’s also cold again. So what does that mean? Here’s the latest flood warning:

THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON THE SNOW MELT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND THE PRECIPITATION RECEIVED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS INCLUDING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING
THIS WEEK AND THIS WEEKEND.

But:

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS TO HOW MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION FELL AS RAIN VERUS SNOW…AND HOW MUCH OF THE LIQUID WILL REFREEZE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES COMING IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOW TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S…SO LITTLE ADDITIONAL MELTING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A new Spring Flood Outlook is due out tomorrow. Hopefully that will help illuminate the latest thinking for the St. Croix.

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